Abdel-Hamid Bello

I am an applied microeconomist working on health, inequality, and labor. My research asks how circumstances early in life shape economic outcomes in adulthood, and when public policy can change these paths. I combine causal inference with large linked administrative data, in particular through Statistics Canada's research data centres.

I am a postdoctoral researcher in the Department of Economics at the Université du Québec à Montréal and a research fellow at the School of Public Health of the Université de Montréal. I received my Ph.D. in Economics from Université Laval in 2025. I am also affiliated with the Groupe de recherche sur l’inadaptation psychosociale chez l’enfant (GRIP).

I am on the 2026–2027 academic job market.

Fields: Applied Microeconomics, Health Economics, Inequality, Labor Economics, Policy Evaluation

Job Market Paper

When Does Early Disadvantage Stop Predicting Adult Outcomes? Evidence from a Randomized Intervention

with Yann Algan, Sylvana Côté, and Maripier Isabelle

We study who gains most from early childhood interventions and whether these programs can weaken the transmission of disadvantage across generations. Using a population-representative Quebec cohort linked to tax records, we show that inattention, disruptiveness, and prosociality at age six account for 13 percent of the intergenerational correlation in income. We then study a randomized program that taught social skills and self-control to disruptive kindergarten boys from low-income Montreal neighborhoods. Its long-run effect on earnings varies most with inattention at school entry, which strongly predicts lower adult income among control boys but not among treated boys, so that the most inattentive boys gain the most, mainly through fewer years without earnings. The program thereby weakens the link between parental income and the adult income predicted by early skills, contrary to a common reading of dynamic complementarities.

Publications

How Infant Health Shapes Maternal Earnings
Review of Economics of the Household, 2026 (solo-authored)
Prenatal Exposure to PM2.5 and Infant Health: Evidence from Quebec
with Maripier Isabelle and Guy Lacroix
Economics & Human Biology, 62, 101631, 2026
Reproducibility and Robustness of Economics and Political Science Research
with Abel Brodeur, David Mikola, Nathan Cook, Lenka Fiala, et al.
Nature, 652, 151–156, 2026

Working Papers

Intergenerational Transmission of Inequalities: Are Health Inequalities at Birth the Missing Link? Preparing for resubmission
with Maripier Isabelle and Guy Lacroix
Abstract

This paper studies whether poor health at birth contributes to the persistence of economic inequality across generations. Using linked Canadian administrative data covering two birth cohorts, we document the intergenerational transmission of low birth weight and examine how health at birth shapes the probability of moving above parental income rank. Sibling comparisons indicate that low birth weight reduces upward mobility, while subsequent childhood health shocks explain part, but not all, of this relationship.

Work in Progress

Distant Conflicts, Local Consequences: Armed Conflict Onset and Birth Outcomes among Immigrants Draft available soon
with Maripier Isabelle and Guy Lacroix
Abstract

This project examines whether armed conflicts in immigrants' countries of origin affect birth outcomes among mothers living in Canada. We link Canadian administrative birth records with immigration data and monthly information on armed conflicts in mothers' countries of origin. Focusing on immigrant women who arrived in Canada before conception, we exploit the timing of new conflict onsets following periods of peace relative to pregnancy. We find that the onset of armed conflict during pregnancy increases the probability of preterm birth, with the largest effects when conflict begins earlier in pregnancy. The results are robust to alternative definitions of conflict onset, temporal placebo tests, comparisons with immigrants from countries unaffected at the same time, and the exclusion of major conflict episodes. In contrast, broader measures of exposure to ongoing conflict yield substantially smaller effects, suggesting that the emergence of a new conflict, rather than conflict exposure per se, may constitute a particularly salient shock for immigrant families. These findings provide evidence that the health consequences of armed conflicts can extend beyond national borders, affecting immigrant populations living far from the violence.

Perinatal Public Programs and Child Outcomes

Policy Writing

Perspective économique sur le développement des tout-petits
Observatoire des tout-petits, 2026. Author of the economic analysis.

Teaching

Winter 2027
Instructor, Health Economics
Université Laval, undergraduate and graduate levels
Fall 2023
Instructor, An Introduction to Causal Inference with R
Workshop in Econometrics, Cotonou, Benin
Summer 2022
Teaching Assistant, Health Economics (ECN-1100 and ECN-6953)
Université Laval, undergraduate and graduate levels

References

Guy Lacroix
Professor of Economics, Université Laval
guy.lacroix@ecn.ulaval.ca
Yann Algan
Professor of Economics, HEC Paris
algan@hec.fr
Jonathan Zhang
Assistant Professor, Sanford School of Public Policy, Duke University
jonathan.zhang@duke.edu
Maripier Isabelle
Associate Professor of Economics, Université Laval
maripier.isabelle@ecn.ulaval.ca
Marie Connolly
Professor of Economics, Université du Québec à Montréal
connolly.marie@uqam.ca